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Forum Views - December 2023

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Dr. Vispi Rusi Bhathena, PhD (h.c.)

Chief Executive Officer

Dr. V. Aditya Srinivas

Chief Operating Officer

and Chief Economist

The Indian economy has emerged as a torchbearer for the global economy, demonstrating

consistent GDP growth and a significant resurgence in domestic consumption.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released growth rate forecasts for various

economies, with India leading the way: Country GDP Forecast for 2023 (Reference: Economic

Times)

World 3.0% • India 6.3% • China 5.0% • Russia 2.2% • USA 2.1% • Japan 2.0%

• Eurozone 0.7%

F R O M

T H E

BBF SECRETARIAT

This above clearly indicates that the Indian economy is considered one of the most promising

in terms of growth, even amid global economic uncertainty.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has shown signs of cooling, providing substantial relief to

the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). CPI inflation has decreased from 6.83% to 5.02%, a significant

drop of 181 basis points. This decrease ensures that the RBI will continue its pause on interest

rate hikes. The Repo rate has been raised from 4% to 6.5%, a 250 basis point increase, bringing

it close to its terminal level.

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) has surged from 5.7% to 10.3%, indicating a robust

outlook for the manufacturing sector. The simultaneous rise in IIP and fall in CPI inflation

appears to be an ideal combination for the economy and the Central Bank's objective of

controlling inflation without compromising on economic growth.

GST collections have reached Rs. 1.62 lakh crore, reflecting the resurgence of robust business

activities.

FORUM VIEWS, DECEMBER 2023 edition

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FORUM VIEWS - DECEMBER 2023

BBF has conducted over 30 seminars to promote investor

education and awareness, attracting participation from

more than 1350 individuals.

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